Recklessness of current Somali leaders risk sparking new civil war

Last year’s Kuumade community meeting in Kismayo, the Habargidir one that was held in Hobyo, the Mudullod consultative meeting that opened in Mogadishu, the upcoming Puntland clans’ conference, the whims of Abiy Ahmed that is frustrating Somaliland, and the complaints by the regional states, all have one thing in common, the failure of the federal government to satisfy the Somali clans.

When the clans were not satisfied with the rule of the military, and they were denied the political platform they needed to express themselves, like is happening now, they created rebels movements such as the Somali Salvation Democratic Front (SSDF), Somali National Movement (SNM), United Somali Congress (USC) and Somali Patriotic Movement (SPM), and they brought down the military regime that had been ruling the country for 21 years. Other clans either sided with the rebel movements or the regime.

Today, it seems that history is repeating itself. The same clans that ousted Siad Barre from power are the same ones who are having grievances against the current government. The group in power now and its supporters believe that suppressing these powerful clans will strengthen statehood, while the powerful clans believe that without them, the state will not be able to work and the nation will not be able to rebuild.

These clans are not the only ones who have grievances, there are other clans who have their own grievances against these particular clans who, for that reason, joined Al-Shabaab and for the same reason, now support the current regime.

Violence has always been on the table, but the military power of the African Union Mission in Somalia (Amisom), the enmity of al-Shabab for everyone and the sheer fatigue from the long, bitter years of civil war have so far stayed the hands of these opposing groups.

However, if these provocations, these threats of collapsing the ladder to power, this total disregard for the Constitution continue, then it is possible that the people in Villa Somalia, who are running around with a bomb that has no safety pin and threatening everyone, might just explode us all.

The question is, can we save ourselves and prevent this bomb from exploding again? If it is feelings that overrule the brain, then I have no part in that. For, even when my own life was on the line, I chose my brain over my emotions.

Term Extension Election

President Farmajo recently signed a controversial elections law that was opposed by some regional states and political parties. Although differences of views over the law exist among the political stakeholders, they seem to agree on its impracticality in the country’s current situation. The main reason for this is that there is no agreement among the political stakeholders that can create conducive environment for dialogue. In a nutshell, almost all Somali clans are warning of the current dangerous situation in our country.